Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Tong Herr: EC proceeding ended

PETALING JAYA: Tong Herr Resources Bhd said the European Commission had terminated the anti-dumping and anti-subsidy proceeding concerning imports of certain stainless steel fasteners and part thereof originating in India and Malaysia.
“The company is of opinion that the termination of the anti-dumping and anti-subsidy proceeding will have a positive effect for the sales to Europe,” it said in a filing with Bursa Malaysia.



Monday, December 6, 2010

Weekly Market Commentary

Markets rebounded last week with better economic data from the US, and an easing in concerns over the European debt crisis. The Hang Seng index was up 1.94%, the KOSPI index was up 2.92%, Nikkei was up 1.38%, the S&P 500 index was up 2.2%. Only the STI index was marginally down 0.8%. Oil prices also rose to a 25 month high of 91.42 USD per barrel. Pending sales of U.S. existing houses unexpectedly jumped a 10 percent in October, according to the National Association of Realtors. It was widely expected to fall. Also, retail sales rose the most in 8 months in November, going up 6% year on year.(based on a survey of close to 30 retailers by Thomson Reuters.) Adjusting for shifts in when holidays occurred, it was the biggest increase since September 2006. The conference board also reported that its main US consumer confidence index rose to a 5 month high of 54.1, up from a revised 49.9 in October. This was a big jump in US consumer confidence.

Overall, the various indicators were showing that the US economy was doing better than what many economists were expecting. The only negative indicator was jobless rate, which rose to hit 9.8% in November, despite the US economy continuing to add jobs. However, as we mentioned before, unemployment numbers tend to be a lagging indicator rather than a forward one, so we don’t see this as an indicator that the US economy is about to slump. Ben Bernanke, the US Federal Reserve Chairman said that the economy was barely expanding at a sustainable pace and that it’s possible that the Fed may expand bond purchases beyond the 600 billion USD announced last month to spur growth. This was seen as positive amongst equity markets in Asia, as the additional liquidity was likely to find its way into emerging markets, including Asia. His comments also caused the US dollar to weaken and commodity prices accordingly strengthened, especially oil prices.

Oil prices have continued their upward trend, as we anticipated, and this is likely to continue as the dollar weakens. This is because the global economy is recovering, and demand for oil is likely to rise gradually. However, as oil is usually denominated in US dollars, then as the US dollar weakens, it will then cause oil prices to move up.

There was some easing of concerns in Europe over the ongoing debt crisis. Spain finance minister Elena Salgado said that Spain would not need international aid. The ECB president Jean‐ Claude Trichet also challenged the region’s political leaders to do more to get their budget deficits under control.

Overall, we expect to see many of these years concerns start to subside next year, and when they do, investors will refocus on corporate earnings, which are forecast to be very strong. So, we continue to expect equities to outperform bonds going forward, well into next year, with attractive valuations further underpinning a strong potential for a bull run next year.

Saturday, December 4, 2010

Hang Seng : China is Asia's future

Story :-
3 bottles of Chateau Lafite-Rothschild 1869 wine were sold for USD232,692 each at Sotheby's Hong Kong auction, making them the world's most expensive wine sold at an auction.

Friday, December 3, 2010

Monthly Global Market Commentary (Dec 2010)

Global Market is entering another stage of development, which is called "Bumpy Recovery" with some panicky investor. With strong economy fundamental in China,Australia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, and US, i expect a strong global recovery and high inflation coming soon. Going Forward 2011, we will see a recovery in US job market, which turn the economy to "growth" stage.


DJIA : Daily Technical Analysis

DOW JONES (60 min)




Our preference: as long as 11225 is not broken down, we favour an upmove with 11450 and then 11510 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: a break below 11225 would open the way to 11100.





Thursday, December 2, 2010

KLSE : Top 5 picks in 2011

Please share your top 5 KLSE stock picks in 2010
1) Counter Name (code) - Reason (valuation/prospect/future growth/mega trend)
2)
3)
4)
5)

Post your comments here. We would like to hear from you. Thanks.

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Hong Kong : Face High Inflation

Hong Kong will face higher inflation next year as it attracts more capital because of US monetary easing policies, and the appreciating Chinese Yuan increases food costs, Financial Secretary John Tsang said. The US measures may also boost energy prices, and the city’s government is “closely monitoring” the impact on low- income residents, Tsang said. Hong Kong, which pegs its currency to the US dollar, imports most of its fresh food from China. Hong Kong policy makers have said the US Federal Reserve’s plan to buy USD600 billion of Treasury securities will contribute to an asset bubble risk in the city because of excess liquidity. (Bloomberg)