Monday, June 18, 2012

Land-banking firm Walton says it's not like scam-tainted firms

Land-banking firm Walton says it's not like scam-tainted firms and has never lost clients' money. By Felda Chay

IT'S been a year since landbanking firms in Singapore were brought to their knees following a widely publicised scandal where one company lost its clients' money, and land investment firm Walton International Group Inc was no exception. The company, which received a flurry of calls from worried investors seeking reassurance in the immediate aftermath of the industry fiasco, has had to deal with the suspicion shrouding investments in raw land since. Type 'Walton International' into the Google search engine, for instance, and phrases such as 'Walton International scam' and 'Walton International complaints' appear.

But Walton is not like them, said the group's chief executive Bill Doherty to Singapore media, in reference to the company that had gone under with its investors' money. 'We have never lost our clients' money.' This is a point that he, and Walton's top management, reiterated numerous times during a three-day visit made in early September to the company's headquarters in Calgary, Canada, which was paid for by the company.

Lands that Walton has bought with its investors, for instance, have been sold to developers who see potential in the plots. Its investors have also been duly rewarded with returns on their investments.

According to Walton, the annualised total return for projects it exited from late 1998 to end 2010 amounted to between 5.2 per cent and as high as over 50 per cent. These numbers were audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers according to generally accepted standards in Canada.

Walton markets land in Canada and the United States, and has been in Singapore since 1996. Some 18,000 of its 74,000 investors are located here. The group is owned by Mr Doherty's family, and was established under the Walton name in 1986.

Mr Doherty said that scandals involving raw land investment firms have popped up not just in Singapore, but also in Canada. The company now has to grapple with the belief that anything which sounds too good to be true, is too good to be true; if such investments were so lucrative, companies would be better served by keeping these deals to themselves.

Not true, said Mr Doherty. Land investment firms partner investors to buy land because it allows them to free up capital and purchase more and bigger plots, widening their reach. So it makes sense to bring in investors who are willing to plough their money into land.

'We have a strong cash position,' said Mr Doherty. Walton said that it has seen a 196 per cent jump in the amount of cash held in 2010 from 2008, though it did not give figures on the actual amount of cash it is sitting on.

Unlike some of its now-defunct peers, Walton does not promise investors a handsome yearly dividend on their land investments. Instead, returns are paid out when its investors exit a project. 'The system of paying a yearly dividend doesn't make sense because holding land doesn't pay you an income. It doesn't,' said Mr Doherty. 'It is not a cash-flowing, income-producing asset, so it makes no sense.'

Scandals aside, critics of raw land investment have pointed out that it is an unlicensed product in Singapore and therefore does not fall under the purview of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). This means that investors may have few avenues through which to seek recourse, raising the risk factor of raw land investment.

Raw land investment is also an illiquid venture. Walton's investors have had to sit on their investments for as long as 19 years - the longest they had to wait to see returns from the pre-development projects they put money in. Even the shortest wait took about two years. On average, Walton's investors have had to wait about seven years before their investments bore fruit. There is also the worry that key assumptions of the land investment firm do not hold: In other words, the purchased land may never undergo development.

Mr Doherty acknowledged that the investment is illiquid, but believes that the firm's value proposition is its track record in delivering returns. 'Our track record is this: No one has ever lost money when investing with Walton if they had stuck with our programme. Our returns, on average, are 15 per cent compound after fees,' said Mr Doherty.

On raw land investment being an unlicensed product, Leslie Fryers, Walton's executive vice-president of law, said: 'There is no legal requirement for us to be licensed in Singapore.'

Also, investing in land 'is like buying a house, a piece of property', she said.

'We've certainly had legal opinions delivered to us that there is no requirement from MAS for a regulation on our product.

'It's our land that we are selling and we control it and we have very, very disciplined, very focused procedures to ensure that the purchase and sale agreements are properly registered and titled back to investors.' She added that the group gives client regular updates on their investments. Still, Walton would consider licensing its product 'if that is the way Singapore would like the product to be sold', said Ms Fryers. 'We already have the necessary processes in place both in Canada and the United States. It wouldn't worry us but from our perspective, it is certainly cleaner for the purchaser to have a direct ownership of the land as opposed to having an interest in an entity which has registration ownership of the land'.

The group also tries to minimise the risk of its land investments never undergoing development. Key to its investment strategy is strong research into the development potential of the ground it is eyeing, which takes years to complete. This involves looking into 'anything related to urbanisation', said Walton's executive vice-president of land research and acquisitions, Sean Cooney.

'Market statistics, political analysis, environment analysis, financial analysis. You name it, we are researching it. It is a very comprehensive view. The job is done on the ground in the truck. You can read any spreadsheet, you can read any headline, but if you're not in your truck looking at how the market is growing on a day-to-day measurement, you are completely oblivious to that market,' said Mr Cooney.

Thorough research

People and groups that Walton talks to as part of its research include landowners, bankers, real estate brokers, engineering companies and law firms, basically 'any group that is an active participant in development', said Mr Cooney. 'If you talk to enough people over a period of time, usually two years, you then get a sense of the long-term vision of growth in that area'.

Walton has spent between two-four years researching each piece of land it purchased, a process that has cost the company up to US$2 million annually, said Mr Cooney. It is such a lengthy process because the firm tries to talk to every single individual living around the area it is keen to own, to ensure that everyone's plans are in sync. 'If you buy one piece of dirt you need to understand what all the neighbours want to do over the long term with their lands,' said Mr Cooney. 'You buy land in a community context you need to understand everyone in the community.'

Once the research team gives its nod of approval, the decision on whether to plough money into a plot falls on the shoulders of Walton's executive buying committee, which has the final say on a purchase. The additional check and balance is meant to ensure that the land can be planned and will be developed eventually.

There were times - and more often than Mr Cooney likes - when the committee decides not to go ahead with a purchase despite the research team's endorsement. According to him, 20 per cent of the pieces of land brought to the buying committee do not get the green light for purchase. He believes that these land parcels ultimately failed to gain approval because of Walton's very stringent standards.

'And that in itself reduces the risk of our investment,' said Mr Cooney. 'It protects Walton, it protects the investors, it protects the various entitles through which we hold these investments under.'

Walton International Land Banking SCAM?

Walton International Group clarifies Bank Negara probe
Monday, 09 March 2009 19:53
KUALA LUMPUR: Walton International Property Group (M) Sdn Bhd said on March 9 that it does not distribute real estate investment trusts (REITS), nor does it offer deposit-taking or interest schemes.
It said that it offered clients the opportunity to purchase ownership of high-quality land in highly-researched and carefully-selected growth areas within Canada and the US.
“Walton’s Malaysian clients hold legal title to the North American lands that they own, safely and securely registered in the respective jurisdictions. Over Walton’s 30-year history, almost 50,000 clients worldwide have purchased more than 49,000 acres of land, a total of nearly RM 6 billion worth of land,” it said.
The statement was issued after Bank Negara raided the group’s offices in Kuala Lumpur, Kota Kinabalu and Kuching on March 5 under the Exchange Control Act (ECA) 1953.
The central bank had stated the raids were carried out simultaneously following complaints received from members of the public.
Bank Negara had also seized relevant documents from the company for investigation. The central bank had on March 6 also advised the public to be cautious of this type of land banking schemes promoted by the company.
“Any elements of deposit-taking activities and public offerings such as ‘interest schemes’ or investment in real estates schemes (REITs) should be referred to the appropriate authorities such as Bank Negara Malaysia, Suruhanjaya Syarikat Malaysia and Suruhanjaya Sekuriti,” it added.
Walton said it did not consciously or deliberately contravened any laws in the countries in which it operateds. It also assured its clients, employees, partners and the Malaysian public that it was cooperating fully with Bank Negara to resolve this matter as quickly as possible.
“Walton operates to the highest ethical and business standards, here in Malaysia and around the world,” said Walton Asia chief operating officer Kent Britton.
“In Malaysia, as elsewhere, we are committed to positive relationships with our valued clients and with the citizens and governments of the countries in which we do business.”
He said Walton was fully open and transparent in its professional relationships with regulatory authorities, and responsive to requests for information and cooperation.


Marc Faber Call on Euro on June 2012

The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report author and publisher , Marc Faber thinks the final outcome of the Greek elections will be that the Greeks will decide not to leave the Eurozone, and the problems will just be postponed because they won't implement the austerity measures expected of them. " I think the dollar had a very strong rally and the euro became very oversold , I think the Greek election will be favorable in other words the Greeks will decide not to leave the Eurozone and the problems will be postponed because they will not implement the austerity that is demanded by them , and I do not know what the actual outcome will be but I think it is quite possible that at some stage the Germans will lose patience and that They will exit the Eurozone " says Marc Faber

Saturday, June 16, 2012

Market Outlook June 2012

The current correction in NYSE, SGX, KLSE, will extend a few months. The Europe crisis is still unpredictable.

But, the US economy growth is sustainable in 2012. We will see the true organic growth in US economy by end of 2012.

Have Fun in Investing !


Special Situation Blog

Thursday, June 14, 2012

Agilent Share Price - A good share?

Figure 1 : Compare Agilent Stock  Price vs Berkshire Hathaway and Danahar


12 Years share Price Performance(12-YTD)
1) Danaher (Test & Measurement, Bioscience Analysis, Investment) - 359.07%
2) Berkshire Hathaway (Investment Holdings) - 129.80%
3) Agilent Technologies (Test & Meausrement, Bioscience Analysis) - -13.68%


Danahar - Company Profile
Chairman/CEO - Steve M Rales (Founder)
Danaher Corporation (Danaher) designs, manufactures and markets professional, medical, industrial and commercial products and services. The Company’s research and development, manufacturing, sales, distribution, service and administrative facilities are located in more than 50 countries. It operates in five segments: Test & Measurement; Environmental; Life Sciences & Diagnostics; Dental; and Industrial Technologies. In April 2011, the Company sold its Pacific Scientific Aerospace (PSA) business. On June 30, 2011, the Company acquired Beckman Coulter, Inc. (Beckman Coulter). In January 2012, the Company sold its Accu-Sort businesses. In February 2012, the Company sold its Kollmorgen Electro-Optical (KEO) business. During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Company acquired EskoArtwork, On February 6, 2012, L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc. acquired Kollmorgen Electro-Optical unit of the Company.

Berkshire Hathaway Inc - Company Profile 
Chairman/CEO - Warren Buffet (Founder)
erkshire Hathaway Inc. (Berkshire) is a holding company owning subsidiaries engaged in a number of diverse business activities. The Company is engaged in insurance businesses conducted on both a primary basis and a reinsurance basis. Berkshire also owns and operates a number of other businesses engaged in a variety of activities. On December 30, 2011, Medical Protective Corporation (MedPro) completed the acquisition of 100% of the Princeton Insurance Company, a professional liability insurer for healthcare providers based in Princeton, New Jersey. During the year ended December 31, 2011, Acme Building Brands (Acme) acquired the assets of Jenkins Brick Company, the brick manufacturer in Alabama. In September 2011, Berkshire acquired The Lubrizol Corporation (Lubrizol). In June 2011, the Company acquired Wesco Financial Corporation.

Agilent Technologies - Company Profile 
CEO - Bill Sullivan
Agilent Technologies, Inc. (Agilent) is a measurement company providing bio-analytical and electronic measurement solutions to the communications, electronics, life sciences and chemical analysis industries. During the fiscal year ended October 31, 2011 (fiscal 2011), it had three business segments: electronic measurement business, chemical analysis business and life sciences business. Its electronic measurement business addresses the communications, electronics and other industries. Agilent’s chemical analysis business focuses on the petrochemical, environmental, forensics and food safety industries. Its life sciences business focuses on the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, academic and Government, bio-agriculture and food safety industries. In addition to its three businesses, it conducts research through Agilent Technologies Laboratories (Agilent Labs). In February 2012, it acquired software solutions and technology for device-level modeling and validation from Accelicon Technologies.




Who is Steve M. Rales?
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_M._Rales)

What happen to Agilent's Equity Investment under Bill Sullivan?
He sounds like very successful in managing Agilent Inc but under his leadership, Agilent has zero/negative growth on share price. Why? Because his M&A(Merger & Acquisition) strategy is too bad compare to Steve M. Rales/Warren Buffet.


Conclusion:
In capital market, all technology companies should be managed by "intelligent" investor!




(Disclosure : Author has no position in Agilent, Danaher and Berkshire.)









Friday, June 1, 2012

Marc Faber : Potential for a Market Crash in the Fall Gloom

Marc Faber interviewed by Fox Business News ( 31 May 2012 ) on the Potential for a Market Crash in the Fall Gloom, Boom & Doom Report Editor Marc Faber on the potential for a market crash."If we had a new high on the S&P in other words above 1422 in the summer say in July August , I think a crash will likely follow in the fall in other words in October November and will bring stock prices down very meaningfully " says Marc Faber

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Boustead Holdings Bhd - 1Q Results (29 May 2012)

Revenue for 3 months ending 31 March 2012 rose 51.46% to RM2.40 billion. Pretax profit increased 33.23% to RM224.1 mln. Net profit grew 28.88% to RM144.6 mln. Net Earning Per Share were 13.98 cents. 7.5 cents dividend declared.


Special Situation retains BUY rating on Boustead Holdings Bhd.